Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 7, 2024 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak0 0 3 03
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 2 3 3 315
- 4Marcin Nowak0 2 1 2 0 16+3
- 5Chris Harris0 3 1 3 1 F8
- 6Ludvig Lindgren1 1 02
- 7Daniel Henderson3 3 2 1 09+1
- 1Robert Lambert3 3 3 2 314
- 2Mads Hansen2 0 2 1 27+3
- 3Max Fricke1 1 2 3 29+3
- 4Bartosz Smektała2 0 2 04
- 5Jacob Thorssell2 1 1 2 17+3
- 6Anton Karlsson0 1 01
- 7Luke Becker2 3 05
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Daniel Henderson · VAR3
- Luke Becker · VAS2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Max Fricke · VAS1*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Luke Becker · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
- Daniel Henderson · VAR3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR2
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1*
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Chris Harris · VAR3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Max Fricke · VAS1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2*
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1
- Luke Becker · VAS0
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2*
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Daniel Henderson · VAR2*
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Chris Harris · VAR3
- Max Fricke · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Robert Lambert · VAS2
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Max Fricke · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1*
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Max Fricke · VAS2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Chris Harris · VARF
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 6 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 18 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| VAR | VAS | VAR | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 8.2 | 15 | +6.8 |
| Daniel Henderson | 5 | 3.1 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.