Eskilstuna Smederna vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 25, 2024 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 1 3 313
- 3Patryk Wojdyło3 3 3 1 111+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 2 1 1 2 210+3
- 5Vadim Tarasenko2 3 3 3 314
- 6Joel Andersson3 1 1 16+2
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs1 1 2 2 28+2
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak1 3 2 2 2 010
- 2Kevin Juhl Pedersen0 0 0 0 00
- 3Marcin Nowak1 2 2 1 1 310
- 4Francis Gusts0 2 0 3 0 16
- 6Ludvig Lindgren0 0 R0
- 7Daniel Henderson2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Daniel Henderson · VAR2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Francis Gusts · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Francis Gusts · VAR2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Francis Gusts · VAR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Francis Gusts · VAR3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VARR
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1
- Francis Gusts · VAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2*
- Francis Gusts · VAR1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Marcin Nowak · VAR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SME | VAR | SME | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +34 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Francis Gusts | 6 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 12.7 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 5 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.