Kumla Indianerna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 3 2 2 2 313+3
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 1 3 213+2
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 3 0 211
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski1 R1
- 5Gleb ChugunovR 00
- 6Rasmus KarlssonR M 11
- 7Jonatan Grahn2 1 1 04+1
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 2Mathias ThörnblomR 2 2 04+2
- 3Jarosław Hampel2 R 13
- 4Mateusz Cierniak1 2 1 2 17+2
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 2 3 1 09
- 6Sammy Van Dyck3 0 0 03
- 7Casper Henriksson1 2 1 15+2
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJR
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Rasmus Karlsson · INDR
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · INDM
- Gleb Chugunov · INDR
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJR
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · INDR
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Patryk Dudek · IND0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 15 | −7 | +7 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IND | LEJ | IND | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 4 | -7 | 23 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | -5 | 28 % |
| 10 | -5 | 22 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -5 | 20 % |
| 13 | -1 | 56 % |
| 14 | -3 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.4 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 3 | 7.0 | 3 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.