Vargarna Speedway vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2024 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Marcin Nowak0 0 1 23+1
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak1 0 3 04
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 1 39
- 4Mateusz Tonder1 0 3 1 27+1
- 5Chris Harris0 2 2 1 16+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren3 2 16+1
- 7Daniel Henderson2 3 1 2 08+1
- 1Maciej Janowski2 3 1 3 2 213+2
- 2Paweł Przedpełski3 3 0 0 F 17
- 3Piotr Pawlicki2 2 2 3 3 315
- 4Oskar Fajfer0 2 1 3 3 F9+1
- 6Jonathan Ejnemark0 1 01+1
- 7Ludvig Selvin1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR3
- Daniel Henderson · VAR2*
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Mateusz Tonder · VAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR2
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
- Daniel Henderson · VAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Mateusz Tonder · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Mateusz Tonder · VAR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Daniel Henderson · VAR2
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Mateusz Tonder · VAR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2
- Chris Harris · VAR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIRF
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Mateusz Tonder · VAR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · VAR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIRF
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 9 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| VAR | PIR | VAR | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Daniel Henderson | 5 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 12.4 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.6 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Ludvig Selvin | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.