Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 7, 2024 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 3 2 010+2
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 0 3 110
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 1 1 39+2
- 4Dan Bewley2 2 2 06+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 1 3 311
- 6Noel Wahlquist3 1 04
- 7Filip Hjelmland2 1 25+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 2 29
- 2Vaclav Milik0 0 00
- 3Maciej Janowski3 2 2 2 1 111+3
- 4Oskar Fajfer0 2 1 03+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 3 R 3 0 210
- 6Jonathan Ejnemark0 0 11
- 7Erik Persson1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2*
- Erik Persson · PIR1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC1
- Erik Persson · PIR0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Erik Persson · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIRR
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 6 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Erik Persson | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.