Dackarna Målilla vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 26, 2023 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 3 1 29+2
- 2Brady Kurtz3 3 2 2 010
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 3 1 1 210+3
- 4Dan Bewley2 2 2 06+2
- 5Leon Madsen1 1 1 3 39
- 6Filip Hjelmland2 0 02
- 7Ludvig Lindgren0 0 00
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 1 3 3 19
- 2Gleb Chugunov0 00
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 3 2 2 2 313+2
- 4Mads Hansen0 1 0 01+1
- 5Bartosz Smektała2 0 2 0 15+1
- 6Anton Karlsson1 2 14+1
- 7Jacob Thorssell3 3 0 3 312
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS1
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2*
- Leon Madsen · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Anton Karlsson · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS1
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1*
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2*
- Leon Madsen · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2*
- Leon Madsen · DAC1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Leon Madsen · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Leon Madsen · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAC | VAS | DAC | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 6.5 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 5.9 | 1 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.