Dackarna Målilla vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 12, 2023 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 1 3 2 211+3
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 3 0 1 3 312+1
- 4Dan Bewley1 3 2 0 39
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 1 2 3 212+2
- 6Filip Hjelmland3 3 0 06
- 7Ludvig Lindgren1 0 01
- 1Jarosław Hampel1 1 3 2 18+1
- 2Dominik Kubera3 2 2 3 010+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon0 0 1 R 01
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 3 111+1
- 5Matias Nielsen1 2 1 15
- 6Casper Henriksson0 1 12+2
- 7Daniel Henderson2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC3
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ1
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2*
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJR
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| DAC | LEJ | DAC | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.