Lejonen vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 9, 2023 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Dominik Kubera2 1 3 28+2
- 2Matias Nielsen0 3 2 27+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 2 1 38+2
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 314+1
- 5Francis Gusts2 3 3 3 213+1
- 6Peter Ljung3 R 2 R5+1
- 7Casper Henriksson2 1 1 15+1
- 1Timo Lahti3 0 1 0 0 26+1
- 3Kim Nilsson0 0 0 1 0 34
- 4Victor Palovaara1 1 2 3 1 08
- 5Antonio Lindbäck3 1 2 2 1 110
- 6Emil Millberg0 0 00
- 7Eddie Bock1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ0
- Peter Ljung · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Eddie Bock · ROS1
- Emil Millberg · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS3
- Francis Gusts · LEJ2
- Eddie Bock · ROS1
- Peter Ljung · LEJR
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Emil Millberg · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Victor Palovaara · ROS3
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Eddie Bock · ROS0
- Francis Gusts · LEJ3
- Peter Ljung · LEJ2*
- Timo Lahti · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Emil Millberg · ROS0
- Francis Gusts · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ2*
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Francis Gusts · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Peter Ljung · LEJR
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Francis Gusts · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS1
- Victor Palovaara · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEJ | ROS | LEJ | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 5.8 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.8 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Victor Palovaara | 6 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Eddie Bock | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.