Piraterna Speedway vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 29, 2023 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Vaclav Milik1 1 2 1 0 38
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 2 3 316
- 3Oskar Fajfer2 0 1 2 27+3
- 4Jonathan Ejnemark00
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 2 3 3 312
- 6Peter Ljung0 0 00
- 7Jonas Seifert-Salk2 0 0 13
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen0 1 1 02+1
- 3Antonio Lindbäck2 3 2 0 1 08+1
- 4Wiktor Przyjemski1 3 0 2 17
- 5Kim Nilsson2 3 1 2 210+1
- 6Dimitri Berge3 1 2 3 09
- 7Luke Becker1 3 3 0 18
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ROS0
- Dimitri Berge · ROS3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2
- Luke Becker · ROS1
- Peter Ljung · PIR0
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · ROS1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Luke Becker · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Peter Ljung · PIR0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · ROS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Dimitri Berge · ROS1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Luke Becker · ROS3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ROS1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Luke Becker · ROS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Dimitri Berge · ROS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ROS1*
- Peter Ljung · PIR0
- Dimitri Berge · ROS3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · ROS2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · ROS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ROS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Luke Becker · ROS1
- Dimitri Berge · ROS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| PIR | ROS | PIR | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 12.1 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.