Kumla Indianerna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 22, 2023 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 3 3 212+1
- 2Szymon Woźniak3 2 1 0 06+1
- 3Max Fricke3 0 3 2 210
- 4Rohan Tungate0 1 2 14+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 0 0 17+1
- 6Johannes Stark2 0 02
- 7Jonatan Grahn0 1 12+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel0 3 2 3 311
- 2Dominik Kubera1 2 1 3 18+2
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 0 2 14+3
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 1 312
- 5Mateusz Cierniak2 0 2 2 06
- 6Daniel Henderson1 0 F1
- 7Casper Henriksson3 1 15+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Jason Doyle · IND2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Johannes Stark · IND2
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Rohan Tungate · IND0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Rohan Tungate · IND1
- Max Fricke · IND0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Rohan Tungate · IND2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1*
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Daniel Henderson · LEJF
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Rohan Tungate · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–21 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IND | LEJ | IND | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.