Kumla Indianerna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 1, 2023 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 3 3 212+2
- 2Szymon Woźniak3 2 0 0 16+1
- 3Max Fricke3 3 3 2 213
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski0 2 1 03+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 2 1 1 39
- 6Johannes Stark1 1 13+2
- 7Jonatan Grahn3 1 04+1
- 1Filip Hjelmland1 0 0 1 02
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 1 3 0 06
- 4Dan Bewley1 3 3 3 3 316+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 2 2 2 2 113+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren2 0 13+1
- 7Avon Van DyckM 0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Avon Van Dyck · DACM
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2
- Johannes Stark · IND1
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Johannes Stark · IND1*
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Johannes Stark · IND1*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–20 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IND | DAC | IND | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 12.4 | 16 | +3.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 7 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Avon Van Dyck | 4 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 5 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.