Västervik Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 1, 2023 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Tai Woffinden2 1 3 2 08+3
- 2Mads Hansen3 1 2 17+2
- 3Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 2 313+1
- 4Gleb Chugunov1 0 3 26
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 2 0 3 310
- 6Anton Karlsson1 0 01+1
- 7Jacob Thorssell2 2 2 28+2
- 1Robert Lambert1 2 3 1 3 111+1
- 2Philip Hellström Bängs0 1 1 02+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 0 11
- 4Maksym Drabik2 3 3 3 0 112
- 5Timo Lahti3 1 0 0 26
- 6Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 11
- 7Joel Andersson3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2*
- Robert Lambert · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Maksym Drabik · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS1
- Jaimon Lidsey · SME0
- Timo Lahti · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Maksym Drabik · SME3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Robert Lambert · SME2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1*
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS0
- Maksym Drabik · SME3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Tai Woffinden · VAS1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2*
- Timo Lahti · SME1
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Timo Lahti · SME0
- Maksym Drabik · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2
- Robert Lambert · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Maksym Drabik · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · SME1
- Timo Lahti · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Maksym Drabik · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Timo Lahti · SME2
- Robert Lambert · SME1*
- Tai Woffinden · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| VAS | SME | VAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 13.1 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.