Lejonen vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, July 19, 2023 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Oliver Berntzon1 2 0 03+1
- 2Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 2 010+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel3 2 1 3 312+1
- 4Dominik Kubera2 3 3 2 313+2
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 213+1
- 6Daniel Henderson1 1 02
- 7Casper Henriksson3 1 15+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 3 R 17
- 2Oskar Polis0 M 1 12
- 3Vaclav Milik0 1 1 02+1
- 4Oskar Fajfer1 3 R 1 16+1
- 5Paweł Przedpełski2 2 3 0 2 211
- 6Peter Ljung0 22+1
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Oskar Polis · PIR0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Peter Ljung · PIR0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Oskar Polis · PIRM
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIRR
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Oskar Polis · PIR1
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Peter Ljung · PIR2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Oskar Polis · PIR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIRR
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEJ | PIR | LEJ | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Peter Ljung | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.5 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Oskar Polis | 4 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.