Kumla Indianerna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 18, 2023 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak0 0 11+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 0 06
- 3Max Fricke3 3 3 1 3 316
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski1 1 1 0 25
- 5Jason Doyle3 2 2 18
- 6Johannes Stark0 00
- 7Jonatan Grahn1 1 24+1
- 1Dominik Kubera3 2 3 2 111+1
- 2Nicolai Klindt1 0 1 13
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 1 3 2 39
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 213
- 5Oliver Berntzon2 2 3 0 18+1
- 6Daniel Henderson2 0 02+1
- 7Casper Henriksson3 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ2*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ1
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Nicolai Klindt · LEJ1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–19 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h SW
- gusts up to 47 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IND | LEJ | IND | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Johannes Stark | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.