Västervik Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 18, 2023 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Bartosz Smektała0 2 3 2 18+1
- 2Mads Hansen2 2 04+1
- 3Tai Woffinden1 2 2 2 07+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell0 1 3 15+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 1 212+1
- 6Anton Karlsson3 0 03
- 7Gleb Chugunov2 3 2 1 210+3
- 1Brady Kurtz1 0 1 02+1
- 2Maciej Janowski3 3 2 3 314
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 1 2 3 312
- 4Dan Bewley2 0 3 0 0 16+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 R 13
- 6Ludvig Lindgren0 1 01
- 7Filip Hjelmland1 1 13+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Anton Karlsson · VAS3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Tai Woffinden · VAS1
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS1*
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS1*
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · VAS2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Tai Woffinden · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VAS | DAC | VAS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.3 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Mads Hansen | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.1 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 11.7 | 6 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.