Kumla Indianerna vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, July 5, 2023 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 2 F 26+1
- 2Bartłomiej Kowalski3 3 0 0 06
- 3Max Fricke2 3 1 2 3 314
- 4Rohan Tungate1 1 02+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 2 1 1 310+1
- 6Jonatan Grahn2 0 02
- 7Johannes Stark0 2 02+1
- 1Tai Woffinden2 2 3 3 212
- 2Bartosz Smektała0 0 1 12
- 3Anders Thomsen3 2 3 311+1
- 4Mads Hansen0 11+1
- 5Jacob Thorssell2 2 3 2 110+3
- 6Anton Karlsson1 1 1 03
- 7David Bellego3 1 3 0 29+1
Heat by heat
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- David Bellego · VAS3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · VAS3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Rohan Tungate · IND1*
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2
- David Bellego · VAS1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND3
- Johannes Stark · IND2*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2
- Rohan Tungate · IND1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Anders Thomsen · VAS2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- David Bellego · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Rohan Tungate · IND0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · VAS3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jason Doyle · IND1*
- David Bellego · VAS0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Tai Woffinden · VAS2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · INDF
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- David Bellego · VAS2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–21 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IND | VAS | IND | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Anton Karlsson | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.