Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 20, 2023 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski0 1 3 0 04+1
- 2Filip Hjelmland2 0 24
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 3 2 0 29+1
- 4Dan Bewley0 1 3 3 3 313
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 R 1 16+1
- 6Noel Wahlquist0 1 12+1
- 7Ludvig Lindgren2 1 14
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 0 3 3 312
- 2Vaclav Milik1 2 2 2 18+2
- 3Paweł Przedpełski3 3 0 2 210
- 4Oskar Fajfer1 2 0 14+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 1 1 05+1
- 6Jonathan Ejnemark3 3 28
- 7Erik Persson1 01
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2
- Erik Persson · PIR1
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Erik Persson · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2*
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19–27 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Erik Persson | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.6 | 4 | -6.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.