Västervik Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 2, 2023 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Bartosz Smektała1 3 2 3 211
- 2Mads Hansen3 3 1 18
- 3Tai Woffinden3 3 1 3 111
- 4Gleb Chugunov2 0 3 2 18+3
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 3 3 2 313+1
- 6Jacob Thorssell3 1 15+1
- 7Anton Karlsson1 1 02
- 1Dominik Kubera2 2 2 2 0 210
- 2Peter Ljung0 1 01+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon00
- 4Matias Nielsen1 2 2 0 0 05
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 1 1 313
- 6Daniel Henderson2 0 1 03
- 7Casper Henriksson0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · LEJ0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2*
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Mads Hansen · VAS3
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Peter Ljung · LEJ1*
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Tai Woffinden · VAS1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ1
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ0
- Tai Woffinden · VAS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS2
- Gleb Chugunov · VAS1*
- Daniel Henderson · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · VAS3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Tai Woffinden · VAS1
- Matias Nielsen · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 4–12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| VAS | LEJ | VAS | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 3 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.9 | 13 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.