Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 30, 2023 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Vaclav Milik1 1 R 2 2 3 09
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 2 3 2 1 316
- 3Oskar Fajfer2 24
- 4Paweł Przedpełski1 1 1 0 0 03+2
- 6Ludvig Selvin0 0 0 11+1
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark2 0 0 24
- 1Maciej Janowski3 3 2 19+2
- 2Filip Hjelmland2 1 14
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 1 3 1 38+1
- 4Dan Bewley3 3 3 3 214
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 2 R10
- 6Daniel Henderson1 1 13
- 7Ludvig Lindgren3 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · DAC1
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · DAC1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1*
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Vaclav Milik · PIRR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · DAC1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -18 | 0 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -18 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 7 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Ludvig Selvin | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 7 | 12.1 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.3 | 3 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.