Kumla Indianerna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 2, 2023 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 1 3 1 2 312+2
- 2Norbert Krakowiak0 1 01+1
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 1 2 18+1
- 4Rohan Tungate0 0 2 02
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 1 3 313
- 6Jonatan Grahn2 1 03+1
- 7Gustav Grahn3 2 0 05
- 1Vaclav Milik3 1 1 3 08+1
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 2 2 19+2
- 3Piotr Pawlicki1 3 3 1 210
- 4Oskar Fajfer3 3 2 0 210+1
- 5Paweł Przedpełski2 3 2 07
- 6Ludvig Selvin1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND0
- Gustav Grahn · IND3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2*
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Rohan Tungate · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Gustav Grahn · IND2
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND1*
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Rohan Tungate · IND0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Rohan Tungate · IND2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1*
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Ludvig Selvin · PIR1*
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Rohan Tungate · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 7–11 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 17 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IND | PIR | IND | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Gustav Grahn | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Ludvig Selvin | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.