Piraterna Speedway vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 17, 2022 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Wiktor Lampart0 0 0 11
- 2Jakub Jamróg3 1 3 1 08
- 3Tomas H Jonasson0 1 01+1
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk3 2 2 0 29+2
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 3 314
- 6Rasmus Broberg0 0 00
- 7Vaclav Milik3 3 3 3 315
- 1Timo Lahti2 1 3 2 2 111+3
- 2Victor Palovaara1 FX1+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs2 0 1 1 2 17+2
- 5Kim Nilsson3 2 1 2 FX 210
- 6Kai Huckenbeck2 2 1 2 3 010+1
- 7Daniel Henderson1 1 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1*
- Wiktor Lampart · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1*
- Victor Palovaara · ROSFX
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1*
- Wiktor Lampart · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1*
- Wiktor Lampart · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS2
- Wiktor Lampart · PIR1
- Kim Nilsson · ROSFX
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8–15 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIR | ROS | PIR | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.4 | 15 | +6.6 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Victor Palovaara | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.0 | 7 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.