Lejonen vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, October 4, 2022 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Oliver Berntzon0 1 2 1 3 310+1
- 2Dominik Kubera3 2 2 3 1 314
- 3Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 2 3 3 112+1
- 4Mathias Thörnblom0 00
- 5Patryk Dudek0 1 12
- 6Benjamin Basso0 1 01
- 7Casper Henriksson2 1 0 03+1
- 1Dan Bewley1 3 3 2 0 211+1
- 2Kacper Woryna2 3 2 2 09+2
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 1 24
- 4Robert Lambert3 3 3 3 0 012
- 6Joel Andersson1 0 1 13+1
- 7Grzegorz Zengota3 2 0 2 29+1
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Dan Bewley · SME1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ1
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ1
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dan Bewley · SME2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Robert Lambert · SME0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ1
- Dan Bewley · SME0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Dan Bewley · SME2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Robert Lambert · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10–13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 98 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEJ | SME | LEJ | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -12 | 4 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.2 | 12 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.