Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 28, 2022 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 2Dan Bewley1 1 1 3 3 211+1
- 3Robert Lambert3 1 3 3 0 212
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 2 2 2 18+3
- 5Kacper Woryna0 0 2 13+1
- 6Joel Andersson2 2 04+1
- 7Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 0 19+1
- 1Dominik Kubera2 2 3 1 08+1
- 2Dimitri Berge0 00
- 3Jarosław Hampel2 3 0 2 310+1
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 2 313+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 1 1 1 06+1
- 6Casper HenrikssonX 0 00
- 7Mathias ThörnblomFX 1 0 1 35
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Dan Bewley · SME1
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Joel Andersson · SME2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJX
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJFX
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Robert Lambert · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Joel Andersson · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Dan Bewley · SME1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Dan Bewley · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1*
- Robert Lambert · SME0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dan Bewley · SME2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Robert Lambert · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9–14 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +7 | 96 % |
| 3 | +3 | 82 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | +1 | 69 % |
| 6 | +3 | 82 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +5 | 92 % |
| 12 | +5 | 92 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.7 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Dimitri Berge | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 4 | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.