Lejonen vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 14, 2022 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Dominik Kubera2 3 3 2 1 213+1
- 2Jarosław Hampel1 2 2 2 310+3
- 3Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 3 313+1
- 4Mathias Thörnblom0 2 2 04+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon2 3 0 05
- 6Benjamin Basso2 0 13
- 7Casper HenrikssonX 1 01+1
- 1Maciej Janowski3 1 2 0 28
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 0 00
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 1 3 2 07+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt3 3 0 1 18+1
- 5Brady Kurtz3 1 3 1 3 112
- 6Ludvig Lindgren1 0 12
- 7Jacob Thorssell3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJX
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ0
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Benjamin Basso · LEJ1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12–18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEJ | DAC | LEJ | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.1 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 3 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.