Dackarna Målilla vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 6, 2022 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski3 1 3 1 210+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 2 3 2 110+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt1 3 2 2 08+3
- 5Brady Kurtz2 2 3 0 310
- 6Jacob Thorssell3 1 2 3 09+1
- 7Ludvig Lindgren2 1 1 04+2
- 1Andreas Lyager2 R2
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 3 16+1
- 3David Bellego0 0 0 33
- 4Jason Doyle3 3 2 1 1 313
- 5Max Fricke3 1 2 3 2 213+2
- 6Christoffer Selvin0 0 0 11
- 7Jonatan Grahn1 0 0 01
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Andreas Lyager · IND2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC1*
- David Bellego · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1*
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Andreas Lyager · INDR
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC2*
- Max Fricke · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Christoffer Selvin · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 5–19 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | IND | DAC | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.2 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Andreas Lyager | 2 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Christoffer Selvin | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.