Kumla Indianerna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 30, 2022 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen0 1 2 0 03+1
- 2Andreas Lyager3 2 2 2 312
- 3Jason Doyle3 1 2 2 1 211+3
- 4David Bellego0 00
- 5Max Fricke3 3 2 3 2 013
- 6Christoffer Selvin0 0 00
- 7Jonatan Grahn1 1 02+1
- 1Maciej Janowski2 3 3 3 112+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 2 1 04+2
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 1 3 311+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt2 3 0 0 16
- 5Brady Kurtz1 0 3 1 27+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren2 0 13+1
- 7Jacob Thorssell3 2 16
Heat by heat
- Andreas Lyager · IND3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Jason Doyle · IND3
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- David Bellego · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1*
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC3
- Andreas Lyager · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2*
- Jason Doyle · IND1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Andreas Lyager · IND2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1*
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jason Doyle · IND2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC1
- Christoffer Selvin · IND0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Jason Doyle · IND2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Andreas Lyager · IND2
- Jason Doyle · IND1*
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · IND2
- Nicolai Klindt · DAC1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND0
- Andreas Lyager · IND3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Max Fricke · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–19 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h N
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IND | DAC | IND | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 6.2 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 3 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Christoffer Selvin | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.