Kumla Indianerna vs Dackarna Målilla

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 16, 2022 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla

Results

IND 47 : 43 DAC

IND

1Niels Kristian Iversen0 3 2 1 17
2David Bellego3 3 1 0 07
3Chris Holder3 3 3 2 314
4Norbert Kościuch0 0 1 12+1
5Max Fricke3 3 2 3 213
6Gustav Grahn3 03
7Jonatan Grahn0 0 11+1

DAC

1Rasmus Jensen2 2 2 2 3 213
2Jacob Thorssell1 1 1 0 1 15+3
3Frederik Jakobsen1 2 0 3 0 06+1
5Brady Kurtz2 2 2 3 2 314
6Filip Hjelmland1 1 02+2
7Ludvig Lindgren2 1 03+1

Heat by heat

Heat 164.90 s3:3

Heat 265.50 s3:3

Heat 364.40 s3:3

Heat 464.40 s

Max Fricke · IND3
Brady Kurtz · DAC2
Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1*

Heat 565.40 s3:3

Heat 664.40 s3:3

Heat 764.40 s4:2

Heat 864.50 s4:2

Heat 964.20 s3:3

Max Fricke · IND3
Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
Gustav Grahn · IND0

Heat 1064.80 s3:3

Heat 1165.50 s3:3

Heat 1264.80 s2:4

Heat 1364.40 s4:2

Heat 1465.40 s4:2

Heat 1565.10 s2:4

Brady Kurtz · DAC3
Max Fricke · IND2
Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
David Bellego · IND0

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Fog; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 18–28 °C; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Wind: 10 km/h E; gusts up to 48 km/h; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 80 %; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	6	6	0	0
	IND	DAC	IND	DAC

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead IND

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
5	0	64 %
6	0	66 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+4	84 %
11	+4	88 %
12	+2	73 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Chris Holder	5	9.2	14	+4.8
Max Fricke	5	9.9	13	+3.1
Gustav Grahn	2	1.6	3	+1.4
Brady Kurtz	6	12.6	14	+1.4
David Bellego	5	5.9	7	+1.1
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	7.4	7	-0.4
Ludvig Lindgren	3	3.4	3	-0.4
Rasmus Jensen	6	13.5	13	-0.5
Norbert Kościuch	4	3.0	2	-1.0
Jonatan Grahn	3	2.1	1	-1.1
Jacob Thorssell	6	7.4	5	-2.4
Filip Hjelmland	3	4.5	2	-2.5
Frederik Jakobsen	6	9.5	6	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.5064.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.3:22.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.03 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source