Dackarna Målilla vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 10, 2022 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 3 1 18
- 2Adam Ellis1 2 0 03
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 3 1 2 39+1
- 4Rasmus Jensen1 2 2 1 28+2
- 5Maciej Janowski3 3 3 3 315
- 6Ludvig Lindgren3 1 04
- 7Alexander Woentin2 0 02+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 1 1 06+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 2 X4+1
- 3Chris Holder2 2 2 0 06+1
- 4David Bellego3 3 1 3 111+1
- 5Max Fricke2 3 2 2 211
- 6Gustav Grahn1 1 13+1
- 7Jonatan Grahn0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2*
- Adam Ellis · DAC1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC3
- Alexander Woentin · DAC2*
- Gustav Grahn · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Chris Holder · IND2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Adam Ellis · DAC2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1
- Alexander Woentin · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · IND1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- David Bellego · IND1*
- Adam Ellis · DAC0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · IND1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1*
- Alexander Woentin · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · INDX
- David Bellego · IND3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · IND1
- Adam Ellis · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Chris Holder · IND0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- David Bellego · IND1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Chris Holder · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–20 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 1.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAC | IND | DAC | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Gustav Grahn | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.