Rospiggarna Sk vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 9, 2022 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Kim Nilsson2 3 2 3 1 FX11+1
- 3Victor Palovaara1 2 0 2 2 18+3
- 4Szymon Woźniak1 1 3 2 310+1
- 5Tomasz Gapiński2 0 0 02
- 6Kai Huckenbeck3 0 3 2 3 314
- 7Adam Ellis1 2 14+1
- 1Piotr Pawlicki3 2 1 3 1 111+2
- 3Luke Becker0 3 1 3 1 2 212+1
- 4Jakub Jamróg0 0 R R0
- 5Oskar Fajfer3 3 R 2 0 3 213
- 7Alexander Liljekvist2 1 14
Heat by heat
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1*
- Luke Becker · PIR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · ROS1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIRN
- Luke Becker · PIR3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS1*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · ROS2
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Adam Ellis · ROS2*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIRN
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS1
- Victor Palovaara · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Luke Becker · PIR1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIRR
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2*
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIRR
- Luke Becker · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Adam Ellis · ROS1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIRN
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS2
- Luke Becker · PIR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Luke Becker · PIR2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Tomasz Gapiński · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Luke Becker · PIR2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIRR
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Kim Nilsson · ROSFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ROS | PIR | ROS | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +1 | 74 % |
| 7 | +5 | 90 % |
| 8 | +9 | 98 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +11 | 100 % |
| 13 | +7 | 98 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Liljekvist | 3 | 1.0 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Luke Becker | 7 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 12.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 7 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Victor Palovaara | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.