Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 19, 2022 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 2Dan Bewley3 2 3 3 314
- 3Robert LambertFX 3 2 FX5+1
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 1 3 2 011+2
- 5Kacper Woryna2 3 2 3 313+2
- 6Grzegorz ZengotaF 3 0 3 1 29
- 7Maximilian Belsing2 0 X 02
- 1Niels Kristian IversenR 2 1 1 37+1
- 2David Bellego1 0 01
- 3Norbert Kościuch1 1 1 2 16+3
- 4Max Fricke2 3 2 0 2 211
- 5Chris HolderF 1 23
- 6Jonatan Grahn3 1 1 16+1
- 7Gustav Grahn1 1 0 02
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- David Bellego · IND1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · INDR
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Maximilian Belsing · SME2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1
- Grzegorz Zengota · SMEF
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Norbert Kościuch · IND1*
- Robert Lambert · SMEFX
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Gustav Grahn · IND1
- Chris Holder · INDF
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Dan Bewley · SME2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Norbert Kościuch · IND1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Robert Lambert · SME2*
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Max Fricke · IND0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SMEX
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Norbert Kościuch · IND1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1*
- Robert Lambert · SMEFX
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Norbert Kościuch · IND2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Dan Bewley · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Norbert Kościuch · IND1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17–24 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h E
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SME | IND | SME | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Gustav Grahn | 4 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Maximilian Belsing | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 4 | 9.4 | 5 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.