Masarna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 12, 2022 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 1 1 29
- 3Rohan Tungate2 3 1 06
- 4Jan Kvech2 1 0 R 2 16+3
- 5Antonio Lindbäck3 2 3 1 0 110+3
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs0 0 11
- 7Francis Gusts1 3 1 3 1 211+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 2 3 2 312+1
- 2Peter Kildemand1 2 1 04+1
- 3Kacper Woryna3 R 3 3 3 315
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 0 3 0 2 05+1
- 6Patryk Wojdyło2 1 2 05+1
- 7Joel Andersson3 1 2 06+2
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS3
- Jan Kvech · MAS2*
- Peter Kildemand · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2*
- Francis Gusts · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Rohan Tungate · MAS2
- Jan Kvech · MAS1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Peter Kildemand · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Francis Gusts · MAS3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Rohan Tungate · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Peter Kildemand · SME1*
- Jan Kvech · MAS0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Francis Gusts · MAS1*
- Kacper Woryna · SMER
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Joel Andersson · SME2*
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1
- Jan Kvech · MASR
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1
- Peter Kildemand · SME0
- Francis Gusts · MAS3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Jan Kvech · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Francis Gusts · MAS1
- Rohan Tungate · MAS0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Francis Gusts · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Jan Kvech · MAS1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19–26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| MAS | SME | MAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 6 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 13.5 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 6 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 10.8 | 5 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.