Rospiggarna Sk vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 5, 2022 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 3 1 1 07+1
- 3Victor Palovaara3 1 1 0 1 06+2
- 4Adrian Miedziński0 2 2 37
- 5Timo Lahti1 3 3 1 0 210+1
- 6Daniel Henderson0 0 00
- 7Kim Nilsson3 2 2 2 3 113+1
- 1Chris Holder3 3 2 2 3 114
- 2Norbert Kościuch0 0 1 01+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 2 37+1
- 4David Bellego2 3 0 0 38
- 5Max Fricke2 3 3 2 212+2
- 6Gustav Grahn1 0 01+1
- 7Jonatan Grahn2 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Norbert Kościuch · IND0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Victor Palovaara · ROS3
- David Bellego · IND2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1*
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1*
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1*
- Norbert Kościuch · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Victor Palovaara · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Norbert Kościuch · IND1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS1*
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1
- Norbert Kościuch · IND0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- David Bellego · IND0
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Szymon Woźniak · ROS0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Chris Holder · IND1
- Victor Palovaara · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| ROS | IND | ROS | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Gustav Grahn | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Victor Palovaara | 6 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.