Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 5, 2022 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 2 06+2
- 3Robert Lambert3 3 2 3 314
- 4Grzegorz Zengota2 1 2 2 1 08+1
- 5Kacper Woryna2 R 1 3 2 08+2
- 6Patryk Wojdyło3 FX 2 27
- 7Joel Andersson1 3 0 15+1
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 2Mathias Thörnblom0 1 0 01
- 3Jakub Miśkowiak2 2 2 1 18+2
- 4Patryk Dudek0 R 3 1 15
- 5Dominik Kubera3 1 3 0 29
- 6Casper Henriksson0 1 01
- 7Daniel Kaczmarek2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LEJ2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LEJ1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SMEFX
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Patryk Dudek · LEJR
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · SMER
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Robert Lambert · SME2
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Robert Lambert · SME3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h SW
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 3.3 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.1 | 15 | +1.9 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 11.1 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.3 | 5 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.