Kumla Indianerna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, June 30, 2022 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 2 3 110
- 2Norbert Krakowiak3 3 2 R8+1
- 3Chris Holder3 2 2 2 211+2
- 4David Bellego0 3 3 3 110+1
- 5Max Fricke2 3 0 27+1
- 6Jonatan Grahn2 1 14+2
- 7Gustav Grahn3 1 15+1
- 1Vaclav Milik2 3 1 0 1 310
- 2Jonas Seifert-Salk0 0 1 1 02+1
- 3Luke Becker1 1 2 2 0 39+1
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 2 R 3 3 212+1
- 6Alexander Liljekvist1 0 01
- 7Rasmus Broberg0 11
Heat by heat
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Gustav Grahn · IND3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2*
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR1
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Luke Becker · PIR1*
- David Bellego · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Chris Holder · IND2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Norbert Krakowiak · IND2*
- Luke Becker · PIR1
- Oskar Fajfer · PIRR
- David Bellego · IND3
- Chris Holder · IND2*
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Luke Becker · PIR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Gustav Grahn · IND1*
- Alexander Liljekvist · PIR0
- David Bellego · IND3
- Luke Becker · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Max Fricke · IND0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Max Fricke · IND2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1
- Luke Becker · PIR0
- Luke Becker · PIR3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- David Bellego · IND1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Norbert Krakowiak · INDR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20–26 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IND | PIR | IND | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Gustav Grahn | 3 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Alexander Liljekvist | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.