Lejonen vs Masarna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 21, 2022 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 3 29+1
- 2Oliver Berntzon0 3 3 2 311+1
- 3Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 315
- 4Mathias Thörnblom1 0 2 25+2
- 5Dominik Kubera3 3 3 3 214+1
- 6Jeremia Thelaus0 FX 00
- 7Casper Henriksson3 2 2 29+3
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 1 1 17+1
- 2Jan Kvech1 1 2 1 05+2
- 3Rohan Tungate2 2 0 1 16
- 4Francis Gusts0 1 0 01
- 5Antonio Lindbäck2 1 R 03
- 6Emil Millberg1 0 12+1
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 0 03+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Jan Kvech · MAS1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Emil Millberg · MAS1*
- Jeremia Thelaus · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Rohan Tungate · MAS2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1*
- Jeremia Thelaus · LEJFX
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Francis Gusts · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Jan Kvech · MAS1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Rohan Tungate · MAS2
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Jan Kvech · MAS2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1*
- Jeremia Thelaus · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Emil Millberg · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASR
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Jan Kvech · MAS1
- Rohan Tungate · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ2*
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Jan Kvech · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LEJ | MAS | LEJ | MAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.7 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Jeremia Thelaus | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.