Masarna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 14, 2022 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 1 3 3 212
- 2Rohan Tungate3 2 1 3 0 110+2
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki1 3 FX 1 27
- 4Jan Kvech0 11
- 5Antonio Lindbäck2 3 R 1 17+1
- 6Francis Gusts1 0 23+1
- 7Emil Millberg0 R 00
- 1Patryk Dudek2 2 R 3 310
- 2Hubert Legowik0 0 11
- 3Dimitri Berge2 0 2 04+1
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 314+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 2 3 2 010
- 6Mathias Thörnblom3 1 2 17+2
- 7Casper Henriksson2 1 1 04+2
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · MAS3
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Hubert Legowik · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Francis Gusts · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Jan Kvech · MAS0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Francis Gusts · MAS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Rohan Tungate · MAS2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Emil Millberg · MASR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ2
- Jan Kvech · MAS1
- Hubert Legowik · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1*
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ0
- Rohan Tungate · MAS3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MASFX
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Francis Gusts · MAS2*
- Hubert Legowik · LEJ1
- Patryk Dudek · LEJR
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Emil Millberg · MAS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS3
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MASR
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Rohan Tungate · MAS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS2
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| MAS | LEJ | MAS | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.8 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Dimitri Berge | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Emil Millberg | 3 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Francis Gusts | 3 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.