Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 3, 2022 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Vaclav MilikM 1 2 R 03
- 2Jakub Jamróg3 1 0 2 39+1
- 3Oskar Fajfer2 3 3 3 314
- 4Marcin NowakFX 2 R2+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 3 2 215+2
- 6Rasmus Broberg0 1 12
- 7Christoffer Selvin1 0 01
- 1Maciej Janowski2 R 2 1 27
- 2Luke Becker1 1 FX2+1
- 3Jacob Thorssell1 3 2 3 110
- 4Rasmus Jensen3 3 2 0 08+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 1 3 1 18+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren2 2 1 16+3
- 7Alexander Woentin3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Luke Becker · DAC1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIRM
- Alexander Woentin · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2*
- Christoffer Selvin · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Marcin Nowak · PIRFX
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Alexander Woentin · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Christoffer Selvin · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Marcin Nowak · PIR2*
- Luke Becker · DAC1
- Maciej Janowski · DACR
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Alexander Woentin · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR1
- Luke Becker · DACFX
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1
- Christoffer Selvin · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC1*
- Marcin Nowak · PIRR
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Vaclav Milik · PIRR
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 3–11 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.7 | 14 | +5.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 12.7 | 15 | +2.3 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Christoffer Selvin | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.8 | 7 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.