Masarna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 17, 2022 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski1 3 1 3 19
- 2Rohan Tungate3 3 2 0 19+2
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 1 2 211
- 4Adrian Gała0 2 3 05+1
- 5Antonio Lindbäck3 3 1 1 311
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 14
- 7Ernest Koza0 0 00
- 1Brady Kurtz2 1 0 3 28
- 2Luke Becker0 00
- 3Jacob Thorssell2 1 3 0 06
- 4Rasmus Jensen1 2 R 2 1 39+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 3 2 2 011+1
- 6Adam Ellis1 1 24+2
- 7Ludvig Lindgren3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · MAS3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS2
- Adam Ellis · DAC1
- Ernest Koza · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Adrian Gała · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Rohan Tungate · MAS3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Adam Ellis · DAC1*
- Ernest Koza · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Adrian Gała · MAS2*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Luke Becker · DAC0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS3
- Rohan Tungate · MAS2*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DACR
- Adrian Gała · MAS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Ludvig Lindgren · DAC0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · MAS1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Adam Ellis · DAC2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Ernest Koza · MAS0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Adrian Gała · MAS0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Rohan Tungate · MAS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · MAS1
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Rohan Tungate · MAS1*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8–13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| MAS | DAC | MAS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 5.2 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Luke Becker | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 14.6 | 11 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.