Lejonen vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 3, 2022 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik0 3 3 3 312
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak3 0 2 16+1
- 3Patryk Dudek3 2 2 3 R10+2
- 4Oliver Berntzon2 3 3 3 112+1
- 5Dimitri Berge3 2 0 2 18+1
- 6Mathias ThörnblomR 0 11+1
- 7Casper Henriksson1 2 03
- 1Timo Lahti2 0 0 24
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 3 1 39+2
- 3Kai Huckenbeck1 0 2 1 04
- 4Kevin Wolbert0 1 01
- 5Kim Nilsson2 1 1 0 26+2
- 6Victor Palovaara3 3 1 2 211
- 7Daniel Henderson2 1 03+2
Heat by heat
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ0
- Victor Palovaara · ROS3
- Daniel Henderson · ROS2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJR
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Kevin Wolbert · ROS0
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Victor Palovaara · ROS3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2
- Kevin Wolbert · ROS1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ2*
- Victor Palovaara · ROS1
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS3
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1*
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1*
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · LEJ3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LEJ1
- Kevin Wolbert · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Victor Palovaara · ROS2
- Dimitri Berge · LEJ1
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Patryk Dudek · LEJR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 1–14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LEJ | ROS | LEJ | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 5.1 | 11 | +5.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.5 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Kevin Wolbert | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.3 | 4 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.