Eskilstuna Smederna vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 15, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 1 0 25+1
- 2Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 312
- 3Gleb Chugunov3 2 1 3 09+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 3 313+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 3 2 3 111
- 6Joel Kling0 0 00
- 7Johannes StarkTT 0 33
- 1Kim Nilsson2 1 3 1 1 210+2
- 2Olegs Mihailovs0 0 1 12
- 3Timo Lahti1 2 2 2 2 110+1
- 4Patryk DudekF0
- 5Adrian Miedziński3 2 0 3 2 212
- 6Daniel Henderson1 1 0 0 1 03+2
- 7Oscar Holstensson00
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Olegs Mihailovs · ROS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Timo Lahti · ROS1
- Patryk Dudek · ROSF
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Olegs Mihailovs · ROS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Olegs Mihailovs · ROS1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS0
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1*
- Johannes Stark · SMETT
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Johannes Stark · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · ROS1
- Oscar Holstensson · ROS0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SW
- gusts up to 51 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | ROS | SME | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Daniel Henderson | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Oscar Holstensson | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.2 | 5 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.