Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, October 5, 2021 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Tai Woffinden2 0 0 1 25
- 2Maciej Janowski1 2 3 2 311+2
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 3 3 3 312
- 4Rasmus Jensen3 2 1 3 110+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 213+1
- 6Ricky Kling0 0 1 01
- 7Avon Van Dyck11+1
- 1Kacper Woryna3 1 2 0 3 211
- 2Gleb Chugunov0 R 1 23+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 2 05+1
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 1 0 16+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 3 2 2 1 R11
- 6Johannes Stark0 1 01
- 7Joel Kling00
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Gleb Chugunov · SMER
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Tai Woffinden · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Ricky Kling · DAC1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SMER
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–13 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 5.5 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Avon Van Dyck | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Joel Kling | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Ricky Kling | 4 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.4 | 5 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.