Eskilstuna Smederna vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 29, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 0 3 07+2
- 2Kacper Woryna3 3 1 3 111+1
- 3Gleb ChugunovR 1 3 2 39+1
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 1 2 211+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren2 35
- 6Johannes Stark1 0 1 13+2
- 7Joel Kling2 02
- 1Timo Lahti0 0 2 02+1
- 2Kai Huckenbeck1 2 1 2 17+2
- 3Adrian Miedziński1 1 2 F 26+3
- 4Patryk Dudek2 2 3 1 3 314
- 5Kim Nilsson3 3 2 3 011
- 6Anders MellgrenR 1 01
- 7Erik GheorgheR0
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SMER
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROSR
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS1*
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS1
- Erik Gheorghe · ROSR
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Joel Kling · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2*
- Kacper Woryna · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROSF
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Patryk Dudek · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2*
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11–14 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SE
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 11 | −5 | +5 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | ROS | SME | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 2 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Joel Kling | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Johannes Stark | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Erik Gheorghe | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 6.8 | 2 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.