Rospiggarna Sk vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 28, 2021 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek3 2 3 2 010+1
- 2Timo Lahti2 3 2 1 19+2
- 3Kai Huckenbeck1 1 3 3 19
- 4Kim Nilsson3 0 2 1 39+2
- 5Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 3 09
- 6Anders Mellgren0 0 0 0 00
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 1 0 27+1
- 2Kacper Woryna0 2 3 3 1 312+2
- 3Gleb Chugunov0 3 0 R3
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 1 2 2 311
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 1 1 2 1 210+2
- 6Johannes Stark1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Johannes Stark · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Gleb Chugunov · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SMER
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · SME1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Timo Lahti · ROS1
- Patryk Dudek · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10–13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h SE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| ROS | SME | ROS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Anders Mellgren | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.