Masarna vs Kumla Indianerna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 7, 2021 · Avesta, Avesta

Results

MAS 40 : 50 IND

MAS

1Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 2 3 1 112+2
2Martin Smolinski0 0 0 1 12
3Patrick Hansen1 1 1 3 17+2
4Philip Hellström Bängs0 2 0 2 26+1
5Dimitri Berge3 2 3 2 212
6Emil Millberg00
7Aleks Lundquist1 0 01+1

IND

1Chris Holder2 3 2 0 310
2Ludvig Lindgren1 0 1 1 25+3
3Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 0 09
4Jonas Jeppesen2 1 2 38+1
5Max Fricke2 1 3 3 312
6Joel Andersson1 3 2 0 06+2

Heat by heat

Heat 158.30 s3:3

Heat 258.50 s1:5

Heat 357.60 s3:3

Dimitri Berge · MAS3
Max Fricke · IND2
Joel Andersson · IND1*
Emil Millberg · MAS0

Heat 458.60 s3:3

Heat 558.90 s

Heat 659.10 s2:4

Heat 758.20 s3:3

Heat 858.80 s2:4

Heat 958.80 s1:5

Heat 1058.80 s5:1

Heat 1158.90 s3:3

Heat 1259.50 s4:2

Heat 1359.10 s1:5

Heat 1459.40 s3:3

Heat 1559.10 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15–19 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 16 km/h SW; gusts up to 32 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 71 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	MAS	IND	MAS	IND

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead MAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-12	1 %
10	-8	5 %
11	-8	8 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-10	1 %
14	-10	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Dimitri Berge	5	8.3	12	+3.7
Joel Andersson	5	3.2	6	+2.8
Philip Hellström Bängs	5	4.2	6	+1.8
Jonas Jeppesen	4	7.0	8	+1.0
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	11.2	12	+0.8
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	8.4	9	+0.6
Ludvig Lindgren	5	4.5	5	+0.5
Emil Millberg	1	0.3	0	-0.3
Max Fricke	5	12.6	12	-0.6
Chris Holder	5	11.3	10	-1.3
Aleks Lundquist	3	3.0	1	-2.0
Patrick Hansen	5	9.1	7	-2.1
Martin Smolinski	5	6.9	2	-4.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.5057.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 28.3:33.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.40

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source