Piraterna Speedway vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 7, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 2Thomas Jorgensen3 2 1 1 2 09+1
- 3Jakub Jamróg0 1 2 2 1 17+1
- 4Tomas H Jonasson2 0 1 1 04+2
- 5Oskar Fajfer1 3 3 2 2 112
- 6Alexander WoentinFX 1 1 0 1 25+2
- 7Rasmus Broberg00
- 1Timo Lahti0 3 0 0 36
- 2Kai Huckenbeck2 2 3 2 312+2
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 FX 0 3 28+1
- 4Patryk Dudek1 2 3 3 312
- 5Kim Nilsson2 3 3 3 213+1
- 6Anders Mellgren1 0 0 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Patryk Dudek · ROS1
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2
- Anders Mellgren · ROS1*
- Alexander Woentin · PIRFX
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROSFX
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1*
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1
- Alexander Woentin · PIR0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Anders Mellgren · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1*
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Alexander Woentin · PIR2
- Anders Mellgren · ROS1
- Rasmus Broberg · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Kim Nilsson · ROS2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15–19 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h W
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| PIR | ROS | PIR | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Jorgensen | 6 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Alexander Woentin | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Anders Mellgren | 5 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.