Dackarna Målilla vs Vetlanda Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 31, 2021 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski2 3 2 3 212+2
- 2Tai Woffinden1 2 3 3 211+3
- 3Jacob Thorssell2 3 0 2 310+2
- 4Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 0 311+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 314+1
- 6Ricky Kling3 0 03
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz0 00
- 1Brady Kurtz3 0 2 1 1 18+1
- 2Filip Hjelmland0 1 1 1 14+2
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 2 1 2 05
- 4Victor Palovaara1 1 0 0 13+2
- 5Peter Ljung1 1 2 2 2 08
- 6Robin Aspegren0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · VET3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Tai Woffinden · DAC1*
- Filip Hjelmland · VET0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2*
- Victor Palovaara · VET1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET0
- Ricky Kling · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2*
- Peter Ljung · VET1
- Robin Aspegren · VET0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Filip Hjelmland · VET1
- Brady Kurtz · VET0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET2
- Victor Palovaara · VET1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2*
- Peter Ljung · VET1
- Robin Aspegren · VET0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · VET2
- Filip Hjelmland · VET1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Tai Woffinden · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET1
- Victor Palovaara · VET0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Brady Kurtz · VET1*
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET2
- Filip Hjelmland · VET1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Robin Aspegren · VET1*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · DAC0
- Tai Woffinden · DAC3
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC2*
- Brady Kurtz · VET1
- Victor Palovaara · VET0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Victor Palovaara · VET1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Tai Woffinden · DAC2*
- Filip Hjelmland · VET1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VET0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Brady Kurtz · VET1
- Peter Ljung · VET0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10–22 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| DAC | VET | DAC | VET | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Ricky Kling | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 12.8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 5 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Robin Aspegren | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.