Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 31, 2021 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 210
- 2Johannes Stark0 0 0 0 11+1
- 3Gleb Chugunov2 2 1 1 06+3
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 2 2 010+1
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 3 315
- 6Maximilian Belsing0 R0
- 7Joel Kling0 1 23
- 1Chris Holder3 R 2 3 19+1
- 2Ludvig Lindgren1 1 1 1 37+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 F 38+1
- 4Jonas Jeppesen1 3 2 17+2
- 5Max Fricke2 3 3 2 212
- 6Jonatan Grahn1 1 0 0 X2+1
- 7Gustav Grahn00
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Gustav Grahn · IND0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1
- Chris Holder · INDR
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Chris Holder · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1*
- Maximilian Belsing · SMER
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Max Fricke · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · INDF
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Joel Kling · SME1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Chris Holder · IND3
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND2*
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND3
- Joel Kling · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Jonatan Grahn · INDX
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Jonas Jeppesen · IND1
- Gleb Chugunov · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Max Fricke · IND2
- Chris Holder · IND1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10–19 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h N
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SME | IND | SME | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 11.5 | 15 | +3.5 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Gustav Grahn | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Maximilian Belsing | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 5 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Johannes Stark | 5 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.