Vetlanda Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 24, 2021 · Vetlanda, Vetlanda

Results

VET 41 : 49 SME

VET

1Dominik Kubera1 3 3 2 2 213
2Victor Palovaara0 0 1 12
3Peter Ljung3 R 0 03
4Tomasz Gapiński0 1 3 0 37
5Brady Kurtz3 3 2 2 1 112+2
6Filip Hjelmland1 2 0 1 04+2

SME

1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 1 2 311+2
2Kacper Woryna2 3 3 1 09+1
3Gleb Chugunov1 R R 3 37+1
4Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 2 3 210
5Pontus Aspgren2 2 2 3 110+1
6Johannes Stark0 1 1 0 02+2

Heat by heat

Heat 163.80 s1:5

Heat 264.10 s3:3

Heat 363.80 s4:2

Heat 463.20 s1:5

Heat 563.10 s5:1

Heat 664.10 s3:3

Heat 764.20 s2:4

Heat 863.90 s4:2

Heat 964.00 s3:3

Heat 1064.60 s2:4

Heat 1164.20 s3:3

Pontus Aspgren · SME3
Brady Kurtz · VET2
Filip Hjelmland · VET1*
Johannes Stark · SME0

Heat 1264.20 s1:5

Heat 1364.20 s3:3

Gleb Chugunov · SME3
Dominik Kubera · VET2
Brady Kurtz · VET1*
Johannes Stark · SME0

Heat 1464.20 s3:3

Heat 1563.70 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 14–19 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 8 km/h S; gusts up to 19 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 59 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	9	15	−6	+6
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	VET	SME	VET	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VET

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-6	23 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-4	32 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-8	7 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	6.6	10	+3.4
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	9.4	11	+1.6
Dominik Kubera	6	12.0	13	+1.0
Brady Kurtz	6	11.4	12	+0.6
Kacper Woryna	5	8.4	9	+0.6
Filip Hjelmland	5	4.2	4	-0.2
Pontus Aspgren	5	10.3	10	-0.3
Tomasz Gapiński	5	7.5	7	-0.5
Johannes Stark	5	3.1	2	-1.1
Victor Palovaara	4	3.1	2	-1.1
Peter Ljung	4	4.3	3	-1.3
Gleb Chugunov	5	9.7	7	-2.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.6063.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 28.3:33.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.87 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source