Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 24, 2021 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand1 1 3 16
- 2Tomas H Jonasson0 3 0 3 28
- 3Thomas Jorgensen1 2 2 2 18+2
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk0 1 1 1 36+3
- 5Jakub Jamróg2 1 2 2 2 211+1
- 6Alexander Woentin1 0 1 1 03+3
- 1Luke Becker2 3 1 1 29+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen3 0 0 0 36
- 3Jacob Thorssell3 3 3 3 315
- 4Rasmus Jensen2 2 2 0 17+4
- 5Jason Doyle3 2 3 3 R11
- 6Ricky Kling0 0 00
- 7Avon Van Dyck0 00
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Luke Becker · DAC2*
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Luke Becker · DAC3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR1
- Alexander Woentin · PIR0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2*
- Luke Becker · DAC1
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR3
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR2*
- Luke Becker · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIR2
- Alexander Woentin · PIR1*
- Avon Van Dyck · DAC0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · PIR3
- Luke Becker · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Alexander Woentin · PIR0
- Jacob Thorssell · DAC3
- Jakub Jamróg · PIR2
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIR1*
- Jason Doyle · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17–21 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.1 | 15 | +4.9 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 4.7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Alexander Woentin | 5 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Avon Van Dyck | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Ricky Kling | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 13.4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.