Rospiggarna Sk vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Thursday, August 12, 2021 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Kim Nilsson1 3 0 1 16+2
- 2Kai Huckenbeck2 2 3 1 19+1
- 3Timo Lahti0 3 2 0 38+1
- 4Patryk Dudek3 0 3 2 311
- 5Adrian Miedziński1 3 0 3 R7+1
- 6Daniel Henderson2 0 2 TT 15
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 1 3 210+2
- 2Kacper Woryna0 2 3 3 210
- 3Gleb Chugunov1 1 2 X 26+2
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 1 2 310+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren3 1 1 2 FX7
- 6Johannes Stark0 11+1
- 7Joel Kling0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Kacper Woryna · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Daniel Henderson · ROS2
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS1*
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Patryk Dudek · ROS0
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Gleb Chugunov · SME1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROS0
- Kim Nilsson · ROS3
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Johannes Stark · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Daniel Henderson · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS0
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Gleb Chugunov · SMEX
- Adrian Miedziński · ROS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Johannes Stark · SME1*
- Daniel Henderson · ROSTT
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Gleb Chugunov · SME2
- Daniel Henderson · ROS1
- Joel Kling · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · ROS3
- Kacper Woryna · SME2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SMEFX
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · ROS1
- Adrian Miedziński · ROSR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ROS | SME | ROS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Henderson | 5 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Johannes Stark | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 11.0 | 7 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.